Santos Laguna W vs América W

América W look more likely to win away, with the away win probability at 65.4% versus 15.2% for Santos Laguna W. This aligns with the season records: América have 32 wins in 46 matches, while Santos Laguna have only 5 wins in 34, suggesting a stronger overall baseline for América. Defensively, América also stand out. They’ve conceded 48 goals in 46 matches and kept 18 clean sheets, compared with Santos conceding 69 in 34 and only 5 clean sheets. That gap supports the idea that América can limit Santos’ scoring chances even on the road. The goal-related probabilities further support an América-leaning outcome. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 63.2%, and both teams to score is also likely at 59.6%, which suggests the match may not be a low-event shutout even if América are more likely to come out on top. Recent form is mixed but still slightly favorable to América, with their last five results reading WWWLW, while Santos’ recent form is LLLDW. With a confidence score of 54 and a high risk level, the edge isn’t overwhelming, but the combination of stronger season performance and better defensive output makes the away win the most consistent call.