Santa Fe vs Chico

Santa Fe at home has a stronger overall record than Chico on the road, with 8 wins, 11 draws, and 6 losses at home compared to Chico’s 5 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses away. Santa Fe also has the better goal profile, scoring 38 and conceding 29, while Chico scores 15 and concedes 39. In recent form, Santa Fe’s sequence is WDLLD, which includes some inconsistency, but they still show more stability than Chico’s WLLWL, where the two losses and low scoring output away can weigh on results. The matchup probabilities reflect this gap, with Santa Fe favored for a home win at 64.2% versus 14.4% for Chico. The goal expectations are moderate rather than extreme. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53.3%, and both teams to score is 51.2%, suggesting a fairly even chance of a tighter game or a match where Chico manages to find a goal despite conceding heavily. Overall, the home win lean aligns with Santa Fe’s stronger home record and better goal difference, while the relatively low confidence in the exact scoreline is consistent with Chico’s ability to occasionally win and the middling goal probabilities.