San Lorenzo vs Huracan

San Lorenzo at home have been relatively tight defensively, conceding 19 goals in 20 matches and keeping 10 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed with three straight losses before a late rebound (LLLWL), and they have scored 17 goals overall, suggesting they may struggle to consistently create high-scoring games. Huracan away are also not overly leaky, with 18 goals conceded in 21 matches and 9 clean sheets. Their recent run (WLWLD) looks steadier than San Lorenzo’s, but their overall scoring rate is only slightly higher than San Lorenzo’s (22 goals in 21 matches), which points more toward moderate totals than frequent blowouts. The goal market aligns with this profile: the probability of over 2.5 goals is 34.3%, while both teams to score is 42.3%. With San Lorenzo’s low-to-mid scoring output and both sides conceding at similar rates, the under 2.5 angle looks more likely than a higher-scoring script, though the medium risk reflects that neither team is completely shut down. Overall, the matchup leans toward fewer goals, with the provided probabilities supporting an Under 2.5 Goals call (confidence score 71), but the draw and the possibility of one team breaking through keep it from looking fully one-sided.