U19 League
Finished
High risk

Rukh Vynnyky U19 vs Kolos Kovalivka U19

60Full time
Wed, Aug 12, 12:00 PM

AI prediction

Home Win

Confidence 56/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

Home Win

Rukh Vynnyky U19 (LLWWW) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.3 for Kolos Kovalivka U19 (LWLWL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 56/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.

Confidence

56/100

Confidence
56/100

Strongest cover

1X

77.5% probability

Risk classification

High

22.6% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

RVU win54.9%
Draw22.6%
KKU win22.5%

Goals

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%

Both teams to score

Yes61.9%
No38.1%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Rukh Vynnyky U19

9/15 recent form points

LLWWW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
2.40
Shots on target
Unavailable

Kolos Kovalivka U19

6/15 recent form points

LWLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.67
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/7 and Over 2.5 in 6/7.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2025 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Rukh Vynnyky U19 6-0 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2026-08-12T14:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Rukh Vynnyky U19 2-1 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2026-04-09T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka U19 0-1 Rukh Vynnyky U19

2025-11-14T12:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka U19 1-2 Rukh Vynnyky U19

2025-04-06T12:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Rukh Vynnyky U19 1-2 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2024-09-28T11:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kolos Kovalivka U19 2-1 Rukh Vynnyky U19

2024-03-01T11:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Rukh Vynnyky U19 4-0 Kolos Kovalivka U19

2023-08-18T02:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Rukh Vynnyky U19 have a stronger overall season record at home, with 17 wins from 30 matches and a positive goal difference from 72 scored and 41 conceded. They also have more clean sheets (10) than Kolos Kovalivka U19 (8), which supports the idea that the home side can control the game more often. Kolos Kovalivka U19’s away record is less convincing, with 13 wins and 12 losses, and their recent form is mixed with no clear momentum (LWLWL). Their scoring output is also lower than Rukh’s (50 vs 72), while their defense is slightly better on goals conceded (37 vs 41), keeping the matchup relatively close. The probabilities lean toward a home result being slightly more likely than a draw or away win, with home win at 54.9% versus 22.6% for a draw and 22.5% for an away win. At the same time, the confidence is only moderate and the risk is high, so the away side still has enough chance to avoid defeat. There is also a strong lean toward goals, with over 2.5 goals at 61.7% and both teams to score at 61.9%, suggesting the match may not be a low-scoring, one-sided affair even if Rukh edges it.

Recorded forecast

Final score

6-0

Pre-kickoff call

Home Win · 54.8% → Won

Ranked probability score

0.1275 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Wed, 12 Aug 2026 11:01 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Rukh Vynnyky U19 predictions · Kolos Kovalivka U19 predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.