RTC vs Thimphu

RTC have been slightly more consistent than Thimphu across their 11 matches, with a 5W 3D 3L record versus Thimphu’s 4W 1D 6L. RTC also have a marginally stronger goal profile, scoring 12 and conceding 11, while Thimphu score 10 but concede 18, suggesting RTC are more likely to control the match and limit chances. The recent form supports this lean toward the home side. RTC’s run is WWDDW, showing they’ve avoided defeat in several of their latest games, whereas Thimphu’s WWLLL indicates a recent drop in results and more vulnerability in matches they’ve played recently. The market-style probabilities align with a home win being the most likely single outcome, though not overwhelmingly so. Home win sits at 52.3% with a 26.3% draw chance, so the risk of a stalemate remains meaningful, especially given RTC’s relatively close goal difference. For scoring, both teams to score is just under even at 49.4%, and over 2.5 goals is 45.9%, which points to a game that could be competitive but not necessarily high scoring. Overall, RTC’s edge in form and defense makes a home win the most reasonable direction, with medium confidence rather than certainty.