Rodina Moscow U19 vs Ural U20

Rodina Moscow U19 have the stronger overall profile at home, with 10 wins in 17 matches and a solid goal record of 39 scored versus 21 conceded. They also have more clean sheets than Ural U20, 5 compared with 2, which supports the idea that they can control the game and limit Ural’s chances. Ural U20’s season numbers are weaker, with only 5 wins in 17 and a goal difference that leans negative (20 scored, 33 conceded). Their recent form is also difficult, with four straight losses before a single win, suggesting inconsistency and less attacking output in the latest stretch. The match also leans toward goals, with Rodina’s stronger scoring and Ural conceding frequently, aligning with a 64.8% chance of over 2.5 goals. Both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 57.8%, but Rodina’s defensive edge still makes a home win the more favorable outcome. So a home win is the most likely result (71.5%), with a draw as a meaningful alternative (17.0%). The confidence is moderate and the risk is medium, mainly because youth matches can swing quickly, and Ural’s occasional ability to score keeps the away upset from being negligible.