River Plate vs Rosario Central

River Plate at home have been relatively solid defensively, conceding 19 goals in 22 matches and keeping 9 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed (WWLLL), but the overall home profile suggests games are more likely to stay controlled rather than open up. Rosario Central away have a modest scoring and defensive record, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded across 21 matches, plus 5 clean sheets. Their recent form is also mixed (WWLLD), which aligns with a tendency toward tighter outcomes rather than consistently high-scoring games. The goal-related probabilities support this direction: over 2.5 goals is at 42.2%, while both teams to score is 47.6%. With those figures, the under 2.5 goals angle looks more favorable than over 2.5, though not overwhelmingly so, hence the medium risk. Overall, the matchup profile leans toward fewer goals, with River Plate’s defensive strength at home being the main driver, while Rosario Central’s away results keep the game from becoming a clear low-scoring lock.