Riga vs Gyori ETO FC

Riga at home has a slightly stronger overall record than Gyori ETO FC, with 3 wins in 6 matches compared to Gyori’s 3 wins in 6 away matches. Riga’s goal difference is also marginally better, scoring 10 and conceding 9, while Gyori scores 9 and concedes 8. Riga’s recent form includes two losses in the last five results (DWLLW), which tempers the home edge. The market probabilities lean toward a home result, with home win at 51.9% versus draw at 24.8% and away win at 23.3%. That gap is not huge, and the draw probability is meaningful, so the match profile still allows for a tight game rather than a clear runaway. On scoring, both teams to score is favored at 54.2%, and over 2.5 goals is just slightly more likely at 50.4%. Riga has 2 clean sheets in 6, while Gyori has 1 clean sheet in 6, suggesting that shutouts are possible but not dominant for either side. Overall, the home win call fits the slight advantage in record and goal balance for Riga, but the confidence is limited (40) and the risk is high because recent form and the relatively high draw and scoring probabilities point to a close, uncertain outcome.