Richmond Kickers vs NY Cosmos

Richmond Kickers at home have struggled overall with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, but their goal record is slightly better than NY Cosmos, with 16 scored versus 18 and 35 conceded versus 38. They also have 3 clean sheets, matching NY Cosmos’ 3, suggesting neither side has been consistently dominant defensively. NY Cosmos’ away record is also difficult, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 12 losses, and their recent form is mixed-to-weak (LWDLL). Richmond’s recent form is also poor (DLLLW), which keeps the match from looking one-sided despite the home win lean. The probabilities point to a close game: Richmond win is 51.4% versus 24.3% for both the draw and NY Cosmos win. With over 2.5 goals at 55.1% and both teams to score at 57.8%, the matchup profile suggests goals are more likely than a low-scoring stalemate, which supports the home side edging it rather than a clear knockout result. Overall, the home win call aligns with the slight edge in match outcome probabilities, but the medium risk remains because both teams’ recent and season records indicate volatility and limited consistency.