AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 55/100
Reyady Abaseya (LWWDW) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 0.9 for Tadamon Sour (LLWDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 55/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
55/100
Tadamon Sour 0-0 Reyady Abaseya
2026-07-17T16:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Reyady Abaseya 1-1 Tadamon Sour
2026-02-13T13:15:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Tadamon Sour 1-3 Reyady Abaseya
2025-10-17T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Reyady Abaseya 1-2 Tadamon Sour
2024-09-20T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 02:07 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
Strongest cover
1X
72.3% probability
Risk classification
High
28.6% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
3 sources
26 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Reyady Abaseya
10/15 recent form points
Tadamon Sour
7/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/4 and Over 2.5 in 2/4.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Market | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|
Home 1X2 | 2.10 | 47.61904761904761% | 43.7% | -3.9% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.10 | 32.25806451612903% | 28.6% | -3.7% |
Away 1X2 | 3.20 | 31.25% | 27.7% | -3.6% |
Yes BTTS | 1.75 | 57.14285714285714% | 51.9% | -5.2% |
No BTTS | 1.91 | 52.35602094240838% | 48.1% | -4.3% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.30 | 76.92307692307692% | 0.0% | -76.9% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.62 | 61.72839506172839% | 0.0% | -61.7% |
Home 1X2 | 2.10 | 47.61904761904761% | 43.7% | -3.9% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.10 | 32.25806451612903% | 28.6% | -3.7% |
Away 1X2 | 3.20 | 31.25% | 27.7% | -3.6% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 2.00 | 50% | 47.0% | -3.0% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.80 | 55.55555555555556% | 53.0% | -2.6% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.28 | 78.125% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.28 | 78.125% | 0.0% | -78.1% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.60 | 62.5% | 0.0% | -62.5% |
Home 1X2 | 2.10 | 47.61904761904761% | 43.7% | -3.9% |
Draw 1X2 | 3.12 | 32.05128205128205% | 28.6% | -3.5% |
Away 1X2 | 3.16 | 31.645569620253163% | 27.7% | -3.9% |
Over 2.5 Totals | 1.93 | 51.81347150259068% | 47.0% | -4.8% |
Under 2.5 Totals | 1.76 | 56.81818181818182% | 53.0% | -3.8% |
Yes BTTS | 1.73 | 57.80346820809249% | 51.9% | -5.9% |
No BTTS | 1.92 | 52.083333333333336% | 48.1% | -4.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | 1.26 | 79.36507936507937% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
Home or Away Double Chance | 1.27 | 78.74015748031495% | 0.0% | -78.7% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | 1.58 | 63.291139240506325% | 0.0% | -63.3% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.