Remo vs Atletico-MG
Sat, Aug 8, 09:30 PMEstadio Evandro Almeida
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
Remo (LWLWL) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.3 for Atletico-MG (WLWDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 67/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
67/100
Confidence
67/100
Head-to-Head
Atletico-MG 3-3 Remo
2026-02-12T00:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Atletico-MG 2-1 Remo
2021-06-11T00:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Remo 0-2 Atletico-MG
2021-06-03T00:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Remo’s season record shows a tough defensive profile, with 34 goals conceded in 21 matches and only 3 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed and includes multiple losses (LWLWL), which suggests they can struggle to keep games controlled, especially against a side that can score consistently.
Atletico-MG’s away numbers look more balanced, with 25 goals scored and 25 conceded across 20 matches, plus 4 clean sheets. Their recent form is also relatively steady (WLWDW), and that combination supports the idea that they can score without needing to dominate every game.
The matchup leans toward both teams finding goals, with the both teams to score probability at 54.5%. The over 2.5 goals probability is 49.4%, which is close to a coin flip, so a low-scoring script is still plausible, but the overall scoring indicators point slightly toward a BTTS outcome rather than a single-team shutout.
With BTTS Yes priced as the main call and a confidence score of 67, the risk is still high because the over 2.5 goals likelihood is not strong and Remo’s results fluctuate in recent form.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 07 Aug 2026 09:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
