Real Cartagena vs America de Cali
1–1Full timeThu, Jul 30, 01:00 AM
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
Real Cartagena (LW) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.3 for America de Cali (WWDLD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 40/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
40/100
Confidence
40/100
Head-to-Head
America de Cali 2-1 Real Cartagena
2026-07-22T02:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Real Cartagena 0-2 America de Cali
2016-11-13T22:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
America de Cali 2-1 Real Cartagena
2016-11-08T01:30:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Real Cartagena 2-2 America de Cali
2016-09-29T03:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
America de Cali 1-0 Real Cartagena
2016-05-10T02:45:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Real Cartagena vs America de Cali.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-1
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 57.4% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1447 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 00:58 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.