Rana (WDWLL) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 1.4 for Skeid (DLWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 68/100 confidence with medium risk. The strongest fair-price edge is Home or Draw at 35.2 percentage points.
Confidence
68/100
Skeid 3-3 Rana
2026-06-14T13:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +3.7% | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.0% | -2.3% |
| BetVictor | 3.75 | 26.7% |
This forecast was recorded on Sun, 09 Aug 2026 10:13 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 68/100
Strongest cover
12
76.0% probability
Risk classification
Medium
24.0% draw weight
Value status
Home or Draw
+35.2 pp vs market
Market sample
6 sources
49 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Rana
7/15 recent form points
Skeid
4/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/1 and Over 2.5 in 1/1.
Price interpretation
Double Chance · William Hill
Home or Draw
Model edge
+35.2 pp
The model assigns this outcome a higher chance than the margin-adjusted market view. Its model-fair price is 1.45 versus 1.57 offered. That is a disagreement with the market, not a promise of profit.
Provenance
| 24.0% |
| -2.7% |
| Pinnacle | 3.67 | 27.2% | 24.0% | -3.2% |
| William Hill | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.0% | -3.8% |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 27.9% | 24.0% | -3.9% |
| 1xBet | 3.58 | 27.9% | 24.0% | -3.9% |
Away 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +11.6% | 3.26 | 30.7% | 31.0% | +0.3% |
| 1xBet | 3.20 | 31.3% | 31.0% | -0.3% |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 31.8% | 31.0% | -0.8% |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 32.3% | 31.0% | -1.3% |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 38.0% | 31.0% | -7.0% |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 45.5% | 31.0% | -14.5% |
Home 1X2 | William HillBest price +19.5% | 2.50 | 40.0% | 45.0% | +5.0% |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 46.5% | 45.0% | -1.5% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.0% | -5.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 50.0% | 45.0% | -5.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.96 | 51.0% | 45.0% | -6.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 51.5% | 45.0% | -6.5% |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetVictorBest price +3.9% | 2.60 | 38.5% | 36.7% | -1.8% |
| Pinnacle | 2.49 | 40.2% | 36.7% | -3.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 40.7% | 36.7% | -4.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 40.7% | 36.7% | -4.0% |
Over 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +3.3% | 1.50 | 66.7% | 63.3% | -3.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 69.0% | 63.3% | -5.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 69.9% | 63.3% | -6.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 69.9% | 63.3% | -6.6% |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +4.1% | 2.80 | 35.7% | 34.1% | -1.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 37.0% | 34.1% | -2.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.66 | 37.6% | 34.1% | -3.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 38.5% | 34.1% | -4.4% |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +0.7% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.9% | -5.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.9% | -5.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.40 | 71.4% | 65.9% | -5.5% |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 73.5% | 65.9% | -7.6% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetVictorBest price +4.7% | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 0.0% | -59.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 59.5% | 0.0% | -59.5% |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 61.7% | 0.0% | -61.7% |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 69.4% | 0.0% | -69.4% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +15.1% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.26 | 79.4% | 0.0% | -79.4% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +0.7% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.