Quilmes vs Almagro

Quilmes at home have been relatively solid defensively, with 10 clean sheets in 23 matches and a goals-against total of 20. Their recent form includes some inconsistency (WLLDW), but the overall home profile suggests they can limit opponents. Almagro’s away record is weaker than Quilmes’ home record, with 10 losses and 26 goals conceded across 23 matches. They have scored 20 away goals, yet their clean sheets are fewer (7), which points to a match where scoring may be possible but not guaranteed. The goal-related probabilities lean toward a lower-scoring game: over 2.5 goals is at 36.8%, while both teams to score is 42.6%. With Quilmes conceding fewer overall and Almagro not consistently keeping clean sheets, the matchup looks more like a controlled contest than a high-scoring one. So an Under 2.5 Goals call fits the provided scoring signals, with medium risk given the possibility of at least one side finding the net.