Quepos Cambute vs Municipal Grecia result & prediction review
1–0Full time
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 66/100
Home Win
Quepos Cambute (DWLWW) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 0.9 for Municipal Grecia (LWDDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 66/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
66/100
Strongest cover
1X
78.9% probability
Risk classification
Medium
25.1% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
Market probabilities
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Evidence ledger
Quepos Cambute
10/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.63
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Municipal Grecia
5/15 recent form points
- xG / match
- Unavailable
- xGA / match
- Unavailable
- Goals / match
- 1.14
- Shots on target
- Unavailable
Matchup xG signal
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/10 and Over 2.5 in 6/10.
Price interpretation
Value read
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
Model card
- Version
- livewin-hybrid-v0.6
- Data source
- Licensed live data feed
- Statistics baseline
- 2026 season
- Odds timestamp
- Sep 27, 06:00 PM UTC
- Optional coverage
- H2H available · odds available
- Confidence
- Signal agreement score
- Risk
- Medium · uncertainty remains
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.
Head-to-Head
Quepos Cambute 1-0 Municipal Grecia
2026-09-27T20:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Municipal Grecia 2-0 Quepos Cambute
2026-08-09T02:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Municipal Grecia 3-2 Quepos Cambute
2026-04-07T03:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Quepos Cambute 3-2 Municipal Grecia
2026-02-21T21:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Quepos Cambute 1-1 Municipal Grecia
2025-11-09T18:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Municipal Grecia 3-1 Quepos Cambute
2025-09-21T04:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Municipal Grecia 3-2 Quepos Cambute
2025-03-20T03:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Quepos Cambute 5-2 Municipal Grecia
2025-02-05T21:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Quepos Cambute 0-0 Municipal Grecia
2024-10-02T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Municipal Grecia 2-1 Quepos Cambute
2024-08-28T22:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetfairBest price +5.6% | 4.20 | 23.8% | 21.1% | -2.7% |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 24.4% | 21.1% | -3.3% | |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.1% | -3.9% | |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 25.0% | 21.1% | -3.9% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.86 | 25.9% | 21.1% | -4.8% | |
| BetVictor | 3.70 | 27.0% | 21.1% | -5.9% | |
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +5.4% | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.1% | -2.7% |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.1% | -3.5% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.45 | 29.0% | 25.1% | -3.9% | |
| Pinnacle | 3.45 | 29.0% | 25.1% | -3.9% | |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 25.1% | -5.2% | |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 31.3% | 25.1% | -6.1% | |
Home 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +4.5% | 1.78 | 56.2% | 53.8% | -2.4% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 53.8% | -3.3% | |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.8% | -5.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.8% | -5.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 59.9% | 53.8% | -6.1% | |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 61.7% | 53.8% | -7.9% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +5.6% | 2.05 | 48.8% | 47.2% | -1.6% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.8% | |
| Pinnacle | 1.96 | 51.0% | 47.2% | -3.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 51.5% | 47.2% | -4.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.76 | 56.8% | 47.2% | -9.6% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +2.8% | 1.76 | 56.8% | 52.8% | -4.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 57.1% | 52.8% | -4.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 57.5% | 52.8% | -4.7% | |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 57.8% | 52.8% | -5.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.58 | 63.3% | 52.8% | -10.5% | |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +2.2% | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.9% | |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 54.6% | 46.1% | -8.5% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +4.4% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 53.9% | -3.9% |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 58.8% | 53.9% | -4.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 59.9% | 53.9% | -6.0% | |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 65.4% | 53.9% | -11.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +6.8% | 2.10 | 47.6% | 0.0% | -47.6% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% | |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 51.3% | 0.0% | -51.3% | |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 52.6% | 0.0% | -52.6% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 53.2% | 0.0% | -53.2% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +4.5% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% | |
| BetVictor | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.9% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% | |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% |
Model reasoning
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-0
No pre-kickoff forecast was recorded for this fixture, so nothing is graded — forecasts are never reconstructed after the result is known.
Team hubs: Quepos Cambute predictions · Municipal Grecia predictions
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.