Queanbeyan City (WLDDL) project at 2.5 expected goals versus 0.9 for Brindabella (LLLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 80/100 confidence with low risk.
Confidence
80/100
Brindabella 2-0 Queanbeyan City
2026-07-29T11:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Queanbeyan City 2-0 Brindabella
2024-09-22T07:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Queanbeyan City 1-1 Brindabella
2024-08-17T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Queanbeyan City 1-1 Brindabella
2024-06-22T04:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Brindabella 3-3 Queanbeyan City
2024-05-04T07:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Final score
3-0
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 74.3% → Won
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 80/100
Strongest cover
1X
92.1% probability
Risk classification
Low
13.5% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
47 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Queanbeyan City
5/15 recent form points
Brindabella
3/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 3/5 and Over 2.5 in 1/5.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | BetfairBest price +29.5% | 13.00 | 7.7% | 7.9% | +0.2% |
| Marathonbet | 11.75 | 8.5% | 7.9% | -0.6% | |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 10.0% | 7.9% | -2.1% | |
| BetVictor | 9.00 | 11.1% | 7.9% | -3.2% | |
| Bet365 | 8.50 | 11.8% | 7.9% | -3.9% | |
| Unibet | 8.00 | 12.5% | 7.9% | -4.6% | |
Draw 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +11.7% | 6.70 | 14.9% | 13.5% | -1.4% |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 15.4% | 13.5% | -1.9% | |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 16.0% | 13.5% | -2.5% | |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 16.7% | 13.5% | -3.2% | |
| Unibet | 5.30 | 18.9% | 13.5% | -5.4% | |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 19.0% | 13.5% | -5.5% | |
Home 1X2 | UnibetBest price +5.6% | 1.23 | 81.3% | 78.6% | -2.7% |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 83.3% | 78.6% | -4.7% | |
| William Hill | 1.18 | 84.7% | 78.6% | -6.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.14 | 87.7% | 78.6% | -9.1% | |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 88.5% | 78.6% | -9.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 90.1% | 78.6% | -11.5% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +7.1% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.8% | -1.0% |
| Marathonbet | 3.14 | 31.8% | 29.8% | -2.0% | |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 32.8% | 29.8% | -3.0% | |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 37.0% | 29.8% | -7.2% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.5% | 1.33 | 75.2% | 70.2% | -5.0% |
| Unibet | 1.29 | 77.5% | 70.2% | -7.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 70.2% | -8.5% | |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 83.3% | 70.2% | -13.1% | |
No BTTS | UnibetBest price +11.6% | 2.15 | 46.5% | 46.2% | -0.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 52.6% | 46.2% | -6.4% | |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 57.8% | 46.2% | -11.6% | |
Yes BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +5.6% | 1.75 | 57.1% | 53.8% | -3.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 61.7% | 53.8% | -7.9% | |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 53.8% | -8.7% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +17.8% | 4.50 | 22.2% | 0.0% | -22.2% |
| Marathonbet | 4.30 | 23.3% | 0.0% | -23.3% | |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 27.8% | 0.0% | -27.8% | |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 27.8% | 0.0% | -27.8% | |
| Unibet | 3.10 | 32.3% | 0.0% | -32.3% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | BetVictorBest price +3.4% | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% | |
| Unibet | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% | |
| Betfair | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 96.2% | 0.0% | -96.2% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +1.5% | 1.05 | 95.2% | 0.0% | -95.2% |
| Unibet | 1.04 | 96.2% | 0.0% | -96.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.04 | 96.2% | 0.0% | -96.2% | |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 97.1% | 0.0% | -97.1% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.01 | 99.0% | 0.0% | -99.0% |
Ranked probability score
0.0378 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Sat, 01 Aug 2026 04:57 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.