Puebla W vs Guadalajara W

Guadalajara W look more likely to win away, with a stronger overall record of 21W 11D 8L compared with Puebla W’s 4W 5D 25L. The goal profile also favors Guadalajara W, scoring 62 and conceding 39, while Puebla W have scored 19 and conceded 89, suggesting a clear gap in defensive solidity and overall effectiveness. Puebla W’s recent form is mixed to poor (LLDDW), and their season clean sheets are low at 3, which aligns with the higher likelihood of Guadalajara W creating and converting chances. Guadalajara W’s recent form (DDDWL) includes a win in their latest stretch and they have 16 clean sheets, supporting the idea that they can limit Puebla’s scoring opportunities. The market lean also points toward a relatively open game rather than a low-scoring shutout, with over 2.5 goals at 50.3% and both teams to score at 50.7%. That combination fits the matchup where Puebla’s defense has struggled, but the probabilities are close enough that a tight outcome is still plausible. With away win at 58.9% and the confidence score at 58, the edge for Guadalajara W is moderate rather than decisive, so the high risk level is understandable given the near-even goal-related probabilities.