Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas

Chivas look slightly more likely to win away, with an away win probability of 48.8% versus 26.2% for Puebla and 25.0% for a draw. This aligns with the season records: Puebla have 6 wins in 34 matches, while Chivas have 21 wins in 40, suggesting stronger overall results from the visitors. Defensively, Chivas also have the edge. Puebla concede 68 goals in 34 matches and keep 6 clean sheets, while Chivas concede 49 in 40 and have 14 clean sheets, which supports the idea that Puebla may struggle to consistently score. The goal outlook leans toward a more open game. Over 2.5 goals is favored at 55.2%, and both teams to score is even higher at 58.1%, which fits with Puebla’s relatively high concession rate and Chivas’ ability to find goals (70 scored). Recent form is mixed for both sides, with Puebla’s run reading DLLLL and Chivas’ reading DLWDL. That volatility helps explain the high risk level and the only moderate confidence (53%), even though the overall season profile still points toward an away win.