Preston Lions vs Green Gully
2–2Full timeFri, Jul 31, 10:30 AMGenis Steel Stadium
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Home Win
Preston Lions (WWWDW) project at 1.9 expected goals versus 0.8 for Green Gully (WWLWD). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 75/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
75/100
Confidence
75/100
Head-to-Head
Green Gully 0-4 Preston Lions
2026-04-24T11:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Green Gully 0-1 Preston Lions
2025-08-15T11:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Preston Lions 3-2 Green Gully
2025-05-02T12:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Preston Lions look stronger in overall results and defense. At home they have 13 wins from 21 matches, with 31 goals scored and only 16 conceded, plus 10 clean sheets. Their recent form is also steady with WWWDW.
Green Gully’s away record is much weaker, with only 3 wins from 22 matches and 14 losses. They have scored 17 goals but conceded 43, and they’ve kept just 3 clean sheets, which suggests they struggle to control games on the road.
The match profile points to Preston having the edge, with home win probability at 68.6% versus 11.3% for Green Gully. A draw is still plausible at 20.1%, especially given Green Gully’s occasional wins in their recent run (WWLWD).
For goals, over 2.5 is only slightly favored at 50.4%, and both teams to score is close to even at 46.5%. That combination fits a scenario where Preston may win, but not necessarily in a high-scoring, end-to-end way.
Recorded forecast
Final score
2-2
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 68.6% → Lost
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
