Polessya vs FC Kharkiv

Polessya at home have been relatively strong in the league, with 18 wins from 30 matches and a solid goal record of 51 scored versus 21 conceded. Their 17 clean sheets also suggest they can limit opponents, and their recent form includes two wins in the last five games (WWLDW). FC Kharkiv’s overall record is weaker, with 13 wins from 30, and they have scored 36 while conceding 19. Their recent form is less convincing (LDDDW), which points to difficulty turning matches into wins, especially away from home. The match profile leans toward Polessya edging it rather than a clear one-sided result: the home win probability is 48.8% versus 22.4% for an away win, with draws still fairly plausible at 28.8%. At the same time, both teams to score is 42.8%, so a low-scoring, fully controlled home win is not guaranteed. Goal expectations are also uncertain, with over 2.5 goals at 36.6%. With a confidence score of 51 and a high risk level, the home win case looks marginal rather than decisive, and the draw remains a meaningful alternative.