Piteå W vs Häcken W
1–4Full timeSun, Aug 9, 12:00 PMLF Arena
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
Medium risk
Away Win
Piteå W (WLLDD) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.6 for Häcken W (WWWWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 62/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
62/100
Confidence
62/100
Head-to-Head
Piteå W 1-4 Häcken W
2026-08-09T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Häcken W 1-0 Piteå W
2025-11-16T14:00:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Piteå W 0-5 Häcken W
2025-06-19T19:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Piteå W 0-0 Häcken W
2024-08-31T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Häcken W 0-1 Piteå W
2024-05-01T17:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Häcken W 3-1 Piteå W
2024-04-27T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Model reasoning
Häcken W look stronger in the season snapshot, with an 11W-0D-1L record compared to Piteå W’s 4W-3D-5L. Häcken W also have a much better goal profile, scoring 32 and conceding 10 versus Piteå W’s 12 scored and 14 conceded, which supports the away win lean.
The recent form gap is also notable. Piteå W’s last five results are WLLDD, while Häcken W are on a run of WWWWW, suggesting better current momentum and consistency from the away side.
Defensively, Häcken W have more clean sheets (6) than Piteå W (3), and they concede fewer goals overall (10 vs 14). That combination makes it more plausible that Häcken W can control the match, even if Piteå W are not completely out of it.
The probabilities align with this picture: Häcken W are favored for the away win (54.0%), and both teams to score is slightly more likely than not (53.9%), with over 2.5 goals at 50.4%. With a medium risk level and only moderate edge, the away win is a reasonable call rather than a lock.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-4
Pre-kickoff call
Away Win · 53.8%
Recorded before kickoff; settlement runs after results are confirmed.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
