Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC

Philadelphia Union at home have struggled overall with 3 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, but their recent form includes two wins in their last five (LDLWW). They’ve scored 22 goals and conceded 31 across 17 matches, with 3 clean sheets, suggesting they can keep games from running away even if results have been inconsistent. Atlanta United’s away record is weaker, with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses. They’ve scored 17 goals and conceded 30, and they’ve managed only 1 clean sheet, which points to difficulty preventing goals on the road. Their recent form is also less convincing (DLLDL), with no wins in their last five. The matchup profile leans toward a relatively open game: both teams to score is favored (57.2%), and over 2.5 goals is also more likely than not (55.3%). With Philadelphia’s home edge reflected in the probabilities (home win 53.3% versus away win 22.6%), a home win is the most supported outcome, though the medium risk remains given Philadelphia’s overall home record and Atlanta’s ability to find goals at times.