Persib Bandung (LD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.2 for Tampines Rovers (DL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 44/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped. The strongest fair-price edge is Draw or Away at 19.9 percentage points.
Confidence
44/100
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Away 1X2 | William HillBest price +41.6% | 7.00 | 14.3% | 18.5% | +4.2% |
| Marathonbet | 5.65 | 17.7% | 18.5% | +0.8% | |
Final score
1-0
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 44/100
Strongest cover
1X
81.5% probability
Risk classification
High
20.4% draw weight
Value status
Draw or Away
+19.9 pp vs market
Market sample
6 sources
47 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Persib Bandung
1/6 recent form points
Tampines Rovers
1/6 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Price interpretation
Double Chance · William Hill
Draw or Away
Model edge
+19.9 pp
The model assigns this outcome a higher chance than the margin-adjusted market view. Its model-fair price is 2.57 versus 3.60 offered. That is a disagreement with the market, not a promise of profit.
Provenance
| BetVictor |
| 5.25 |
| 19.0% |
| 18.5% |
| -0.5% |
| Pinnacle | 4.33 | 23.1% | 18.5% | -4.6% |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 24.4% | 18.5% | -5.9% |
| SBO | 3.34 | 29.9% | 18.5% | -11.4% |
Draw 1X2 | William HillBest price +37.5% | 6.00 | 16.7% | 20.4% | +3.7% |
| Marathonbet | 4.40 | 22.7% | 20.4% | -2.3% |
| Bet365 | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.4% | -2.7% |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 23.8% | 20.4% | -3.4% |
| Pinnacle | 3.98 | 25.1% | 20.4% | -4.7% |
| SBO | 3.28 | 30.5% | 20.4% | -10.1% |
Home 1X2 | SBOBest price +14.9% | 1.74 | 57.5% | 61.1% | +3.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 63.3% | 61.1% | -2.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 63.7% | 61.1% | -2.6% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 61.1% | -5.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 70.9% | 61.1% | -9.8% |
| William Hill | 1.29 | 77.5% | 61.1% | -16.4% |
Under 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +6.9% | 2.59 | 38.6% | 38.7% | +0.1% |
| Pinnacle | 2.54 | 39.4% | 38.7% | -0.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.36 | 42.4% | 38.7% | -3.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 38.7% | -6.8% |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +10.4% | 1.65 | 60.6% | 61.3% | +0.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 66.7% | 61.3% | -5.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 69.4% | 61.3% | -8.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.39 | 71.9% | 61.3% | -10.6% |
No BTTS | MarathonbetBest price +1.2% | 2.24 | 44.6% | 41.5% | -3.1% |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 45.5% | 41.5% | -4.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 45.5% | 41.5% | -4.0% |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +0.9% | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.5% | -5.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 63.7% | 58.5% | -5.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 65.4% | 58.5% | -6.9% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +44.3% | 3.60 | 27.8% | 0.0% | -27.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.49 | 40.2% | 0.0% | -40.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 41.7% | 0.0% | -41.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 0.0% | -50.0% |
| SBO | 1.98 | 50.5% | 0.0% | -50.5% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | Bet365Best price +9.3% | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.15 | 87.0% | 0.0% | -87.0% |
| SBO | 1.08 | 92.6% | 0.0% | -92.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.07 | 93.5% | 0.0% | -93.5% |
| William Hill | 1.06 | 94.3% | 0.0% | -94.3% |
Home or Away Double Chance | Bet365Best price +3.7% | 1.17 | 85.5% | 0.0% | -85.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 87.7% | 0.0% | -87.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.13 | 88.5% | 0.0% | -88.5% |
| William Hill | 1.11 | 90.1% | 0.0% | -90.1% |
| SBO | 1.09 | 91.7% | 0.0% | -91.7% |
Pre-kickoff call
Home Win · 56.4% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1195 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Fri, 31 Jul 2026 11:34 UTC, before kickoff at 1.74 (Marathonbet), by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.