Persib Bandung (LD) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.3 for Persija (LDW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 38/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
38/100
Persija 1-2 Persib Bandung
2026-05-10T10:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Persib Bandung 1-0 Persija
2026-01-11T09:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +9.0% | 3.20 | 31.3% | 30.2% |
This forecast was recorded on Tue, 04 Aug 2026 00:13 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence 38/100
Strongest cover
1X
70.0% probability
Risk classification
High
30.2% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
51 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Persib Bandung
1/6 recent form points
Persija
4/9 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 1/2 and Over 2.5 in 1/2.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| -1.1% |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.2% | -2.1% |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.2% | -3.1% |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 34.7% | 30.2% | -4.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 36.2% | 30.2% | -6.0% |
| Pinnacle | 2.68 | 37.3% | 30.2% | -7.1% |
Away 1X2 | PinnacleBest price +4.9% | 3.14 | 31.8% | 30.0% | -1.8% |
| Marathonbet | 3.12 | 32.1% | 30.0% | -2.1% |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.0% | -3.3% |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.0% | -3.3% |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30.0% | -4.5% |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 35.7% | 30.0% | -5.7% |
Home 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +1.8% | 2.32 | 43.1% | 39.8% | -3.3% |
| Pinnacle | 2.31 | 43.3% | 39.8% | -3.5% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.8% | -3.7% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.8% | -3.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 43.5% | 39.8% | -3.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 39.8% | -6.7% |
Over 2.5 Totals | PinnacleBest price +2.8% | 2.19 | 45.7% | 43.8% | -1.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 46.1% | 43.8% | -2.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 43.8% | -2.7% |
| BetVictor | 2.14 | 46.7% | 43.8% | -2.9% |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 50.0% | 43.8% | -6.2% |
Under 2.5 Totals | BetfairBest price +5.7% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 56.2% | -1.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 59.9% | 56.2% | -3.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 56.2% | -6.3% |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 62.5% | 56.2% | -6.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 63.3% | 56.2% | -7.1% |
No BTTS | BetfairBest price +7.0% | 1.95 | 51.3% | 50.0% | -1.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 55.2% | 50.0% | -5.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.78 | 56.2% | 50.0% | -6.2% |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 57.1% | 50.0% | -7.1% |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +3.8% | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% | -2.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 53.5% | 50.0% | -3.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 54.6% | 50.0% | -4.6% |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 57.1% | 50.0% | -7.1% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +0.8% | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 65.4% | 0.0% | -65.4% |
| Marathonbet | 1.47 | 68.0% | 0.0% | -68.0% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +2.4% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 74.1% | 0.0% | -74.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 78.7% | 0.0% | -78.7% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +2.9% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.34 | 74.6% | 0.0% | -74.6% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.