Persib Bandung vs Persebaya Surabaya

Persebaya Surabaya look more likely to win despite playing away. Their record is perfect in the provided sample, with 4 wins from 4 matches and only 1 goal conceded, while Persib Bandung have 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss with 3 conceded. The goal profile also leans toward Persebaya. Persebaya have 3 clean sheets in 4 matches and a strong goal difference (5 scored, 1 conceded), whereas Persib have scored 1 and conceded 3 across 2 matches, with no clean sheets. The probabilities suggest a close but slightly Persebaya-leaning game: away win is 45.0% versus home win at 28.1% and draw at 26.9%. Both teams to score is also relatively likely at 49.5%, which tempers confidence in a fully one-sided outcome. With confidenceScore at 35 and riskLevel labeled High, the away win case is plausible but not strong enough to be confident, especially given Persib’s limited sample size and the draw probability being close to the home win rate.