Persebaya Surabaya vs PSMS Medan
Wed, Jul 29, 12:30 PM
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 59/100
Model verdict
Medium risk
Home Win
Persebaya Surabaya (W) project at 1.7 expected goals versus 0.9 for PSMS Medan (L). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 59/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
59/100
Confidence
59/100
Head-to-Head
PSMS Medan 4-0 Persebaya Surabaya
2018-12-01T11:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
Persebaya Surabaya 2-0 PSMS Medan
2018-07-18T12:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
| Market | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Home 1X2 | 1.25 | 80% | 75.5% | -4.5% |
Draw 1X2 |
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Home Win lean for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSMS Medan.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: no qualified value edge clears the fair-price threshold.
Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 11:07 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.