PAOK vs Anderlecht

PAOK at home has a fairly balanced record in 14 matches, with 5 wins and 18 goals conceded across the season, and they’ve kept 6 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed to poor (DWLLL), which limits how strongly you can lean on a home win despite the home advantage. Anderlecht’s away sample here is very small (2 matches), with 1 win and 1 loss, scoring 2 and conceding 3. Their recent form is better than PAOK’s (WL), but the limited match count makes their consistency harder to gauge from these stats alone. The goal-related indicators are close to a coin flip: over 2.5 goals is just under 50% (48.9%), while both teams to score is slightly more likely than not (52.3%). That aligns with a match where PAOK could edge it, but a draw or a narrow Anderlecht result remains plausible. With home win probability at 51.9% and confidenceScore at 47, the home win lean is reasonable but not strong, so the high risk level fits the uncertainty created by PAOK’s recent slump and Anderlecht’s small away sample.