Panathinaikos vs CSKA 1948
1–147′Wed, Aug 5, 06:30 PMSpiros Louis Olympic Stadium
Model verdict
Medium risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Panathinaikos (WD) project at 1.3 expected goals versus 1 for CSKA 1948 (DW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 62/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
62/100
Confidence
62/100
Head-to-Head
CSKA 1948 0-1 Panathinaikos
2023-07-05T18:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Panathinaikos 1-0 CSKA 1948
2023-07-05T18:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
Panathinaikos at home has scored 4 goals in 2 matches and conceded 3, with no clean sheets so far. Their recent form is mixed (WD), suggesting they can find goals, but they have also allowed some.
CSKA 1948 away has scored only 1 goal in 2 matches while conceding 0, and they have two clean sheets. Their recent form (DW) points to strong defensive control, even if their attacking output has been limited.
With Panathinaikos showing some scoring ability but also conceding, and CSKA keeping games tight and not conceding, the matchup profile leans toward fewer total goals. The probabilities provided support this, with under 2.5 goals implied by the over 2.5 figure being 40.7%, and both teams to score at 47.4% indicating it’s not a clear expectation.
Overall, the under 2.5 goals call fits the combination of Panathinaikos’s moderate scoring and CSKA’s strong clean-sheet record, though the medium risk reflects that Panathinaikos could still produce a higher-scoring game at home.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Tue, 04 Aug 2026 09:10 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
