Pakhtakor vs Buxoro

Pakhtakor at home has been strong across the season, with 10 wins in 15 matches and a solid goal record of 26 scored and 14 conceded. They also keep games relatively controlled, with 5 clean sheets, and their recent form is steady with multiple draws and wins (DDWWD). Buxoro’s overall results are more mixed, with 8 wins and 5 losses in 15, and a slightly weaker scoring profile (19 scored) while conceding 16. They have also shown inconsistency in recent matches (WLWLW), which can make their away outcomes harder to rely on. The home win is the most likely result in the provided probabilities, at 64.5%, with a draw at 21.5% and Buxoro at 14.0%. For goals, over 2.5 is only slightly more likely than not at 52.6%, and both teams to score is just under even at 48.9%, suggesting a game that could be close and not guaranteed to produce goals from both sides. With these factors, a Pakhtakor home win looks reasonable, but the medium risk reflects that Buxoro can still compete in stretches and that the goal-related probabilities are not strongly one-sided.