Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split
4–0Full timeThu, Jul 30, 05:00 PMAlphamega Stadium
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
Under 2.5 Goals
Pafos (L) project at 1.1 expected goals versus 1.2 for HNK Hajduk Split (WLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Under 2.5 Goals at 52/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
52/100
Confidence
52/100
Head-to-Head
HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 Pafos
2026-07-23T21:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Under 2.5 Goals lean for Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split.
Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
4-0
Pre-kickoff call
Under 2.5 Goals · 58.1% → Lost
Ranked probability score
0.3472 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:29 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
