Oriente Petrolero vs Universitario de Vinto

Oriente Petrolero at home has a slightly stronger overall record than Universitario de Vinto away, with 5 wins at home versus 3 wins on the road. Their goal numbers are also close, scoring 17 and conceding 18 at home, while Universitario de Vinto scores 17 and concedes 25 away, suggesting Oriente’s defense is more reliable in this matchup. Recent form leans toward Oriente as well. Oriente’s last five results are LDWWL, while Universitario de Vinto’s are LLLDL, which indicates fewer positive outcomes recently and a higher chance of dropping points. The goal outlook is moderately favorable for a match with at least some scoring. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 56.6%, and both teams to score at 56.9%, which aligns with Oriente’s relatively balanced scoring/conceding at home and Universitario’s higher concession rate away. With home win at 59.8% and a medium risk level, the edge is with Oriente, but the draw probability (21.8%) and the away side’s ability to score (17 goals) keep the result from looking fully one-sided.