Orgryte IS vs AIK Stockholm
Sat, Aug 8, 01:00 PMGamla Ullevi
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
Orgryte IS (LWDLW) project at 1.4 expected goals versus 1.4 for AIK Stockholm (WWWDL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 64/100 confidence with high risk.
Confidence
64/100
Confidence
64/100
Head-to-Head
AIK Stockholm 0-3 Orgryte IS
2026-08-02T16:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
AIK Stockholm 2-0 Orgryte IS
2022-02-19T15:15:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Orgryte IS 0-1 AIK Stockholm
2020-03-01T14:30:00+01:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Model reasoning
AIK Stockholm’s away record is stronger than Orgryte IS’s home record, with AIK winning 6 of 15 away matches versus Orgryte’s 3 of 15 at home. AIK also concedes fewer goals overall (21 conceded away) than Orgryte does at home (33 conceded), which supports the idea that AIK can at least avoid a shutout.
Both teams’ scoring profiles point toward goals at both ends. Orgryte has scored 17 at home and AIK has scored 18 away, while clean sheets are limited for both sides (3 each). That combination aligns with the higher both teams to score probability of 58.0%.
The match also leans toward a moderate goal environment, with over 2.5 goals at 53.7%. With Orgryte’s recent form including a loss and a draw in the latest stretch (LWDLW) and AIK’s recent form showing more wins (WWWDL), the game could still produce a close scoreline rather than a one-sided result.
Given the BTTS Yes probability of 58.0% and the relatively high risk level, the expectation is for both teams to score, but not with strong certainty.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 07 Aug 2026 09:11 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
