Once Caldas vs America de Cali

Once Caldas at home have been relatively solid defensively, conceding 28 goals in 23 matches and keeping 4 clean sheets. Their recent form is mixed (WLDWD), and their scoring output is moderate with 40 goals, which suggests they can contribute but may not dominate every game. America de Cali away have a stronger defensive profile, conceding only 20 goals in 23 matches and recording 11 clean sheets. Their recent form is more positive (WDLWW), and they also bring a decent scoring rate with 35 goals, which supports the idea that they can score even if the match is tight. The matchup probabilities point toward both teams finding the net, with both teams to score at 54.0%. That aligns with the overall goal expectation being slightly below a clear over-2.5 lean (over 2.5 goals at 49.1%), implying a game that could be low-to-mid scoring but still with scoring from both sides. With BTTS Yes priced as the main call and a confidence score of 71 (risk level Medium), the bet looks plausible but not guaranteed, since the over-2.5 probability is only around a coin-flip range.