Olimpia Elbląg (LLDLD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.6 for Wisła Płock II (DDDWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 44/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
44/100
Wisła Płock II 1-1 Olimpia Elbląg
2026-05-17T14:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Olimpia Elbląg 2-1 Wisła Płock II
2025-11-02T12:00:00+01:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +5.5% | 3.70 | 27.0% |
This forecast was recorded on Fri, 31 Jul 2026 12:38 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 44/100
Strongest cover
12
75.0% probability
Risk classification
High
25.0% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
Olimpia Elbląg
2/15 recent form points
Wisła Płock II
9/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2025 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 2/2 and Over 2.5 in 1/2.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
| 25.0% |
| -2.0% |
| 10Bet | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.0% | -2.8% |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 27.8% | 25.0% | -2.8% |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 28.6% | 25.0% | -3.6% |
| Unibet | 3.35 | 29.9% | 25.0% | -4.9% |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 30.3% | 25.0% | -5.3% |
Away 1X2 | UnibetBest price +1.5% | 2.65 | 37.7% | 34.7% | -3.0% |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 38.0% | 34.7% | -3.3% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.7% | -3.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 38.2% | 34.7% | -3.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 38.5% | 34.7% | -3.8% |
| 10Bet | 2.55 | 39.2% | 34.7% | -4.5% |
Home 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +1.3% | 2.26 | 44.2% | 40.3% | -3.9% |
| 10Bet | 2.25 | 44.4% | 40.3% | -4.1% |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 44.4% | 40.3% | -4.1% |
| Unibet | 2.23 | 44.8% | 40.3% | -4.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 40.3% | -5.2% |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 45.5% | 40.3% | -5.2% |
Under 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +7.5% | 2.30 | 43.5% | 42.8% | -0.7% |
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 42.8% | -4.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 47.6% | 42.8% | -4.8% |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 48.5% | 42.8% | -5.7% |
Over 2.5 Totals | MarathonbetBest price +2.3% | 1.64 | 61.0% | 57.2% | -3.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.2% | -5.3% |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 62.5% | 57.2% | -5.3% |
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 57.2% | -6.5% |
No BTTS | William HillBest price +0.9% | 2.25 | 44.4% | 40.5% | -3.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.24 | 44.6% | 40.5% | -4.1% |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 45.5% | 40.5% | -5.0% |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +1.8% | 1.55 | 64.5% | 59.5% | -5.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 65.4% | 59.5% | -5.9% |
| Unibet | 1.49 | 67.1% | 59.5% | -7.6% |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +4.9% | 1.62 | 61.7% | 0.0% | -61.7% |
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 63.7% | 0.0% | -63.7% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 64.5% | 0.0% | -64.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 64.5% | 0.0% | -64.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 66.7% | 0.0% | -66.7% |
| Unibet | 1.48 | 67.6% | 0.0% | -67.6% |
Home or Draw Double Chance | William HillBest price +1.2% | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 71.4% | 0.0% | -71.4% |
| 10Bet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 0.0% | -72.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 72.5% | 0.0% | -72.5% |
| Unibet | 1.34 | 74.6% | 0.0% | -74.6% |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +5.6% | 1.29 | 77.5% | 0.0% | -77.5% |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Betfair | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 82.6% | 0.0% | -82.6% |
| 10Bet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.