Oeste U20 vs Botafogo SP U20
Mon, Aug 10, 10:00 PM
Model verdict
Medium risk
BTTS Yes
Oeste U20 (LLDDD) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.1 for Botafogo SP U20 (DLDLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 60/100 confidence with medium risk. The strongest fair-price edge is Draw or Away at 30.7 percentage points.
Confidence
60/100
Confidence
60/100
Head-to-Head
Recent head-to-head data is unavailable on the current API tier.
Odds Comparison
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | Bet365Best price +7.1% | 3.25 | 30.8% | 28.6% | -2.2% |
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.6% | -3.7% | |
Model reasoning
Oeste U20 at home have a fairly balanced record with 12 goals scored and 10 conceded across 9 matches, and they’ve kept 2 clean sheets. Their recent run is mixed (LLDDD), which suggests scoring and results have been inconsistent rather than dominant.
Botafogo SP U20 away have scored 12 but conceded 14, with 0 clean sheets, so they’ve been more likely to allow goals on the road. Their recent form (DLDLW) also points to a tendency for matches to stay open, even if wins aren’t frequent.
With both sides showing similar scoring totals (12 each) and Botafogo conceding more than they keep out, the both teams to score outcome looks more plausible than a clean-sheet scenario. The overall goal profile is also slightly leaning toward over 2.5 goals (48.6%), which supports a BTTS Yes view.
The draw or away angle has a notable value signal in the provided value bet, aligning with the relatively close home and away win probabilities. Confidence is moderate (60) and risk is medium, since neither team shows strong recent momentum or consistent defensive control.
Recorded forecast
This forecast was recorded on Mon, 10 Aug 2026 18:42 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
