Oakland Roots vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Oakland Roots at home have a slightly stronger overall record than Pittsburgh’s away record, but their recent form is mixed to poor with a run of DWLLL. They’ve scored 25 and conceded 27 across 17 matches, suggesting games can be fairly open, though they’ve managed only 2 clean sheets. Pittsburgh’s away results are not dominant, with 7W 2D 8L, and their recent form is also weak with LLWLL. Their defensive output is a bit steadier than Oakland’s, conceding 20 in 17 away matches and keeping 4 clean sheets, which limits how often they fully collapse. The market-style probabilities lean toward a close match rather than a clear one-sided outcome: home win is 45.6% versus away win at 27.8% and a draw at 26.6%. With both teams to score at 54.8% and over 2.5 goals at 50.6%, the matchup profile points to a moderate chance of goals on both sides, which supports the idea of Oakland edging it rather than a comfortable home shutout. Overall, the home win call fits the probabilities and the home/away balance, but the medium risk reflects Oakland’s recent struggles and Pittsburgh’s ability to keep games tighter at times.