Damallsvenskan
Finished
High risk

Norrköping W vs Kristianstad W

05Full time
Sun, Aug 16, 01:00 PMNorrkopings Idrottspark

AI prediction

BTTS Yes

Confidence 60/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk

BTTS Yes

Norrköping W (DDLWL) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.4 for Kristianstad W (WLWLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 60/100 confidence with high risk.

Confidence

60/100

Confidence
60/100

Strongest cover

12

74.1% probability

Risk classification

High

25.9% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

NW win35.3%
Draw25.9%
KW win38.8%

Goals

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.5%
Under 2.544.5%

Both teams to score

Yes59.4%
No40.6%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Norrköping W

5/15 recent form points

DDLWL
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.00
Shots on target
Unavailable

Kristianstad W

9/15 recent form points

WLWLW
xG / match
Unavailable
xGA / match
Unavailable
Goals / match
1.86
Shots on target
Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 4/9 and Over 2.5 in 5/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version
livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source
Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline
2026 season
Odds timestamp
No odds available
Optional coverage
H2H available · no odds
Confidence
Signal agreement score
Risk
High · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Norrköping W 0-5 Kristianstad W

2026-08-16T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Over 2.5

Kristianstad W 2-2 Norrköping W

2026-05-09T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kristianstad W 0-1 Norrköping W

2025-10-11T15:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Norrköping W 1-4 Kristianstad W

2025-05-17T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Kristianstad W 0-1 Norrköping W

2025-03-16T17:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kristianstad W 1-3 Norrköping W

2024-08-11T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Norrköping W 2-0 Kristianstad W

2024-07-05T18:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Kristianstad W 2-1 Norrköping W

2023-09-17T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Norrköping W 0-2 Kristianstad W

2023-06-12T19:00:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Kristianstad W have been scoring more often than Norrköping W, with 26 goals in 14 matches versus 14 for Norrköping W. Kristianstad W also have a slightly better overall record (6W 3D 5L) than Norrköping W (2W 6D 6L), which supports the idea that Kristianstad can contribute offensively even away. Defensively, both sides have similar clean sheet counts (3 each), and their goals conceded are close (22 for Norrköping W, 24 for Kristianstad W). That combination suggests neither team has been consistently shutting the other down, aligning with the both teams to score probability of 59.4%. The match also projects a moderate chance of goals overall, with over 2.5 goals at 55.5%. With the home win at 35.3% and away win at 38.8% (draw 25.9%), the result is fairly balanced, so a BTTS outcome fits as a more robust angle than picking a single winner. Confidence is moderate (60) and risk is high, since the teams’ records and recent form are mixed rather than dominant, meaning the BTTS case is plausible but not strongly one-sided.

Recorded forecast

Final score

0-5

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 57.5% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.336 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sun, 16 Aug 2026 12:40 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Norrköping W predictions · Kristianstad W predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.