New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC

New York Red Bulls have scored 26 goals in 17 matches and conceded 37, which points to a moderate scoring rate but also a defense that has allowed plenty of chances. Orlando City SC has 28 goals in 17 matches while conceding 44, suggesting both teams are capable of finding goals, even if Orlando’s defensive record is weaker overall. The matchup profile leans toward goals because both sides have relatively high concession totals for the season. With New York’s recent form including a win and a loss pattern (WDWLL) and Orlando showing more mixed results (WDLWW), the overall likelihood still favors a game where at least three goals are reached. The probabilities provided support this direction: over 2.5 goals is listed at 69.4%, and both teams to score is 68.8%. That combination typically aligns with a more open match script rather than a low-scoring one, even though the exact outcome is less certain. A medium risk level fits the spread between home win (50.6%) and away win (27.2%), since the match could swing either way. Still, the goal-based probabilities are stronger than the win-based ones, making Over 2.5 goals the most consistent call among the given options.