New York City II (WWLLW) project at 2 expected goals versus 1.5 for Orlando City II (LWWLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 74/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
74/100
Orlando City II 1-4 New York City II
2025-08-04T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
New York City II 5-2 Orlando City II
2024-08-28T23:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Orlando City II 3-2 New York City II
2024-08-19T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
New York City II 3-4 Orlando City II
2023-08-14T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
Orlando City II 2-2 New York City II
2023-04-24T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
New York City II 0-2 Orlando City II
2022-08-13T02:00:00+02:00
This forecast was recorded on Tue, 11 Aug 2026 02:50 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
BTTS Yes
Confidence 74/100
Strongest cover
12
76.7% probability
Risk classification
Medium
23.3% draw weight
Value status
Pass
No qualified price edge
Market sample
6 sources
50 price observations
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
New York City II
9/15 recent form points
Orlando City II
6/15 recent form points
The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 7/8 and Over 2.5 in 6/8.
Price interpretation
No qualified edge at this snapshot
None of the tracked prices shows enough separation from the model probability to earn a value flag. A pass is the strongest analytical reading until prices or inputs move.
Provenance
No BTTS
Under 2.5
Orlando City II 1-1 New York City II
2022-06-05T01:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Orlando City II 2-2 New York City II
2022-04-04T00:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
| Market | Bookmaker | Odds | Implied | AI | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Draw 1X2 | BetfairBest price +4.6% | 3.90 | 25.6% | 23.3% | -2.3% |
| BetVictor | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.3% | -3.0% | |
| Bet365 | 3.75 | 26.7% | 23.3% | -3.4% | |
| Marathonbet | 3.72 | 26.9% | 23.3% | -3.6% | |
| Unibet | 3.70 | 27.0% | 23.3% | -3.7% | |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 28.6% | 23.3% | -5.3% | |
Away 1X2 | MarathonbetBest price +3.5% | 3.02 | 33.1% | 30.4% | -2.7% |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.4% | -2.9% | |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 33.3% | 30.4% | -2.9% | |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 34.5% | 30.4% | -4.1% | |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 34.7% | 30.4% | -4.3% | |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 37.0% | 30.4% | -6.6% | |
Home 1X2 | UnibetBest price +5.4% | 2.10 | 47.6% | 46.3% | -1.3% |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.3% | -3.7% | |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.3% | -3.7% | |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 51.3% | 46.3% | -5.0% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 51.3% | 46.3% | -5.0% | |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 51.3% | 46.3% | -5.0% | |
Under 2.5 Totals | UnibetBest price +5.2% | 2.88 | 34.7% | 33.5% | -1.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 36.4% | 33.5% | -2.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 37.0% | 33.5% | -3.5% | |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 38.2% | 33.5% | -4.7% | |
Over 2.5 Totals | Bet365Best price +4.2% | 1.44 | 69.4% | 66.5% | -2.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 71.4% | 66.5% | -4.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 73.5% | 66.5% | -7.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.33 | 75.2% | 66.5% | -8.7% | |
No BTTS | BetVictorBest price +2.0% | 2.88 | 34.7% | 32.4% | -2.3% |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 35.7% | 32.4% | -3.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 2.79 | 35.8% | 32.4% | -3.4% | |
Yes BTTS | William HillBest price +0.2% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 67.6% | -5.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 73.5% | 67.6% | -5.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 74.1% | 67.6% | -6.5% | |
Draw or Away Double Chance | BetfairBest price +3.6% | 1.73 | 57.8% | 0.0% | -57.8% |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% | |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 58.8% | 0.0% | -58.8% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 59.9% | 0.0% | -59.9% | |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 59.9% | 0.0% | -59.9% | |
| Unibet | 1.55 | 64.5% | 0.0% | -64.5% | |
Home or Draw Double Chance | BetfairBest price +2.6% | 1.36 | 73.5% | 0.0% | -73.5% |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 74.1% | 0.0% | -74.1% | |
| Unibet | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 75.2% | 0.0% | -75.2% | |
| Bet365 | 1.30 | 76.9% | 0.0% | -76.9% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.28 | 78.1% | 0.0% | -78.1% | |
Home or Away Double Chance | William HillBest price +3.6% | 1.25 | 80.0% | 0.0% | -80.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 82.0% | 0.0% | -82.0% | |
| Bet365 | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 83.3% | 0.0% | -83.3% | |
| Marathonbet | 1.19 | 84.0% | 0.0% | -84.0% | |
| Unibet | 1.18 | 84.7% | 0.0% | -84.7% |
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.