NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar

NEC Nijmegen at home have a stronger overall record than Telstar away, with 16 wins in 34 matches compared to Telstar’s 9 wins in 34. NEC also have the better goal difference, scoring 77 and conceding 53 versus Telstar’s 49 scored and 55 conceded, which supports a slight edge for Nijmegen in this matchup. Recent form is mixed for both sides, but NEC’s sequence includes two draws and a win in their last five (DDDLW), while Telstar’s last five includes a loss followed by two wins (LWDWW). That pattern doesn’t strongly confirm dominance, yet it aligns with NEC being more likely to avoid defeat at home. The goal-related indicators point toward a relatively open game. NEC’s season totals and Telstar’s conceded goals suggest scoring chances for both, and the probabilities provided lean toward over 2.5 goals (65.4%) and both teams to score (64.2%). With the home win probability at 56.7% and a draw still at 21.7%, the home win case is plausible but not secure, which matches the higher risk level.