Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse

Nagoya Grampus at home have a stronger overall record than Shimizu S-pulse away, with Nagoya 10W 1D 9L versus Shimizu’s 8W 1D 11L. Nagoya also have a slight edge in goal difference, scoring 36 and conceding 35, while Shimizu score 24 and concede 29. In recent form, both teams show similar inconsistency, each with the sequence WLLDL. That keeps the match from looking one-sided, but Nagoya’s home results and slightly better scoring profile support the home-win lean. The goal-related indicators point toward a fairly open game. Nagoya and Shimizu both have relatively modest clean-sheet totals (5 for Nagoya, 2 for Shimizu), and the combined probabilities suggest over 2.5 goals is more likely than not (58.3%), with both teams to score also favored (59.6%). With home win at 53.6% and draw at 23.4%, the home side has the edge but not a dominant one, aligning with a medium risk level rather than high confidence.