Municipal vs CS Cartagines
1–1Full timeFri, Jul 31, 03:00 AMEstadio Manuel Felipe Carrera
This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.
Model verdict
High risk
BTTS Yes
Municipal (DDWD) project at 1.5 expected goals versus 1.4 for CS Cartagines (WLLWW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean BTTS Yes at 40/100 confidence with high risk. Team strength uses the 2025 historical season baseline, so confidence is deliberately capped.
Confidence
40/100
Confidence
40/100
Head-to-Head
Municipal 1-1 CS Cartagines
2026-07-31T05:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
Odds Comparison
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
AI Reasoning
Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the BTTS Yes lean for Municipal vs CS Cartagines.
Data angle: team strength uses the 2025 historical baseline and confidence is deliberately capped.
Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed.
Risk warning: High risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.
Recorded forecast
Final score
1-1
Pre-kickoff call
BTTS Yes · 58.3% → Won
Ranked probability score
0.1395 (uniform ≈ 0.222)
Recorded Fri, 31 Jul 2026 02:35 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.5. Counted in the public track record.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
