MP (LWDLD) project at 1.6 expected goals versus 1.1 for KäPa (WLDLL). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Home Win at 72/100 confidence with medium risk.
Confidence
72/100
MP 0-1 KäPa
2026-04-19T15:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
KäPa 3-2 MP
2024-09-14T15:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
MP 2-6 KäPa
2024-07-11T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
KäPa 4-0 MP
2024-05-12T17:30:00+02:00
No BTTS
Over 2.5
MP 6-2 KäPa
2023-06-28T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
KäPa 2-0 MP
2023-04-16T17:00:00+02:00
No BTTS
Under 2.5
This forecast was recorded on Wed, 29 Jul 2026 02:07 UTC and is frozen: it will be graded against the final score on the public track record after full time.
Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.
AI prediction
Home Win
Confidence 72/100
Strongest cover
1X
75.7% probability
Risk classification
Medium
25.9% draw weight
Value status
Unpriced
Pre-match odds unavailable
Market sample
Unavailable
No pre-match quotes
Full distribution
1X2
Goals
Both teams to score
Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.
Inputs behind the forecast
MP
5/15 recent form points
KäPa
4/15 recent form points
API-Football does not provide xG in this statistics response. This free-tier forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.
Recent meetings: BTTS in 5/8 and Over 2.5 in 5/8.
Price interpretation
Odds unavailable for this fixture
The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.
Provenance
KäPa 3-2 MP
2016-08-26T18:00:00+02:00
BTTS
Over 2.5
MP 1-1 KäPa
2016-06-12T17:30:00+02:00
BTTS
Under 2.5
No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.
Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.