Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia look slightly stronger overall, with a better record and a stronger goal profile away from home, scoring 56 and conceding 41 across the season versus Motor Lublin’s 46 scored and 53 conceded. That gap suggests Jagiellonia have the edge in match outcome, but it doesn’t eliminate the chance of Motor scoring. Both teams’ season goal numbers point toward goals at both ends. Motor Lublin have conceded 53 in 34 matches and kept 8 clean sheets, while Jagiellonia have conceded 41 and kept 10 clean sheets, leaving room for at least one team to find the net. The probabilities also align with this, with both teams to score at 58.1%. The recent form is mixed rather than one-sided. Motor Lublin’s run includes two losses and a win in their last five, while Jagiellonia’s includes two wins and two draws, which supports a competitive game where scoring remains plausible for both sides. With both teams to score rated higher than a coin flip and over 2.5 goals at 53.8%, BTTS Yes fits the statistical picture, though the confidence is modest (48) and the risk is high, so it’s better viewed as a lean than a firm call.