Finished

Medium risk

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice result & prediction review

1–0Full time

Sun, Aug 16, 12:45 PMMotor Lublin Arena

AI prediction

Away Win

Confidence 68/100

This match has finished. The analysis below is recomputed from current data for reference; the forecast that counts is the one frozen before kickoff, shown under Recorded forecast.

Model verdict

Medium risk

Away Win

Motor Lublin (DLLLD) project at 1.2 expected goals versus 1.4 for GKS Katowice (WWLLW). The blended Poisson, form, rating and market signals lean Away Win at 68/100 confidence with medium risk.

Confidence

68/100

Confidence

68/100

Strongest cover

72.7% probability

Risk classification

Medium

27.3% draw weight

Value status

Unpriced

Pre-match odds unavailable

Market sample

Unavailable

No pre-match quotes

Full distribution

Market probabilities

1X2

ML win28.7%

Draw27.3%

GK win44%

Goals

Over 1.573.9%

Over 2.548.1%

Under 2.551.9%

Both teams to score

Yes53.1%

No46.9%

Complementary outcomes total 100%; values are model estimates, not implied guarantees.

Inputs behind the forecast

Evidence ledger

Motor Lublin

2/15 recent form points

DLLLD

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 1.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

GKS Katowice

9/15 recent form points

WWLLW

xG / match: Unavailable
xGA / match: Unavailable
Goals / match: 2.00
Shots on target: Unavailable

Matchup xG signal

The live data feed does not provide xG in this statistics response. This forecast uses the 2026 historical season baseline, falls back to observed scoring and conceding rates, and lowers its data-quality assessment.

Recent meetings: BTTS in 6/9 and Over 2.5 in 5/9.

Price interpretation

Value read

Odds unavailable for this fixture

The forecast is based on team and matchup evidence only. No model-versus-market edge is claimed until a complete price set is available.

Provenance

Model card

Version: livewin-hybrid-v0.6
Data source: Licensed live data feed
Statistics baseline: 2026 season
Odds timestamp: No odds available
Optional coverage: H2H available · no odds
Confidence: Signal agreement score
Risk: Medium · uncertainty remains

Confidence reflects separation, form, market agreement and volatility. It does not equal the probability of the displayed pick, and it should not be used as a stake recommendation.

Head-to-Head

Motor Lublin 1-0 GKS Katowice

2026-08-16T14:45:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

GKS Katowice 3-2 Motor Lublin

2026-04-17T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Motor Lublin 2-5 GKS Katowice

2025-10-17T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Motor Lublin 3-2 GKS Katowice

2025-02-24T19:00:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

GKS Katowice 0-0 Motor Lublin

2024-08-16T20:30:00+02:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

GKS Katowice 2-0 Motor Lublin

2024-02-19T18:00:00+01:00

No BTTS

Under 2.5

Motor Lublin 1-1 GKS Katowice

2023-08-06T15:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Under 2.5

Motor Lublin 2-1 GKS Katowice

2021-05-19T18:00:00+02:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

GKS Katowice 2-1 Motor Lublin

2020-11-29T12:45:00+01:00

BTTS

Over 2.5

Odds Comparison

No pre-match bookmaker prices are available for this fixture. The model does not claim a market edge.

Model reasoning

Profile angle: the scoring, conceding, form and venue signals produce the Away Win lean for Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice. Data angle: the model weights recent form, attack and defensive stability. Market angle: pre-match odds are unavailable, so no model-versus-market edge is claimed. Risk warning: Medium risk. This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guaranteed outcome.

Recorded forecast

Final score

1-0

Pre-kickoff call

BTTS Yes · 58.0% → Lost

Ranked probability score

0.2239 (uniform ≈ 0.222)

Recorded Sat, 15 Aug 2026 09:31 UTC, before kickoff, unpriced, by livewin-hybrid-v0.6. Counted in the public track record.

Team hubs: Motor Lublin predictions · GKS Katowice predictions

Predictions are probabilistic and for informational/analytical purposes only. No outcome is guaranteed.