Motherwell vs Falkirk

Motherwell at home have a stronger overall record than Falkirk on the road, with Motherwell 16W-13D-9L at home versus Falkirk’s 14W-7D-17L away. Motherwell also have the better goal profile, scoring 59 and conceding 36 compared with Falkirk’s 50 scored and 62 conceded, which supports the idea that Motherwell can edge the match. The recent form leans slightly toward Motherwell as well. Motherwell’s last five results read WLDLW, while Falkirk’s are LWLLL, suggesting Falkirk have struggled to turn matches into positive outcomes recently. The goal-related probabilities are close to a coin flip, but they still point toward a fairly open game. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53.0%, and both teams to score at 52.9%, which fits with Motherwell’s ability to create chances while Falkirk’s weaker defensive record makes them more likely to concede. With home win at 58.9% and draw at 23.2%, the margin for Motherwell isn’t overwhelming, so the home win case has some uncertainty. That aligns with the higher risk level, since the match could still drift toward a draw or a lower-scoring pattern that reduces the home side’s edge.