Morocco W vs South Africa W

Morocco W at home have been very solid defensively, conceding 0 goals across 3 matches and keeping three clean sheets. Their recent form is WWD, and they’ve scored 5 goals in total, suggesting they can control games and avoid mistakes. South Africa W’s away record is more mixed, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss. They’ve scored 4 and conceded 4 overall, with only one clean sheet, which points to a less consistent defensive showing compared with Morocco’s shutout run. The home win is supported by Morocco’s stronger defensive profile and unbeaten home results, aligning with the probabilities showing Morocco W at 52.8% for a win versus 20.6% for South Africa W. The draw is still fairly plausible at 26.6%, so the edge isn’t overwhelming. For goals, both teams to score is slightly more likely than not at 46.7%, while over 2.5 goals sits at 42.2%. With Morocco’s clean-sheet trend, a lower-scoring outcome is possible, which helps explain the high risk level despite the home advantage.