Montana vs Nesebar

Montana at home has started their season with a draw, scoring 2 goals and conceding 2 across their only match. Nesebar away has started with a loss, scoring 1 and conceding 5, which suggests they have struggled defensively on the road. The win probabilities lean toward Montana, with a 75.0% chance of a home win versus 7.4% for an away win. The draw is still plausible at 17.6%, especially given Montana’s opening match ended level. For goals, the over 2.5 market is slightly more likely than not at 51.4%, and both teams to score is at 39.6%. With Montana having conceded 2 in their match and Nesebar conceding heavily, a moderate goal environment is more consistent than a low-scoring one, though not strongly. Overall, the home win view fits the early form gap, but the medium risk reflects that Montana’s only result was not a clear dominance and the draw remains a meaningful possibility.