Mirassol U20 vs Itapirense U20

Mirassol U20 at home has a slightly stronger overall profile than Itapirense U20 away, with Mirassol recording 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses from 9 matches, while Itapirense has 3 wins and 5 losses from 8 matches. The home side also has a modest edge in goal difference, scoring 10 and conceding 15 versus Itapirense’s 11 scored and 18 conceded. The recent form leans toward a tighter contest rather than a clear runaway. Mirassol’s newest results are DDDLW, showing difficulty turning matches into wins, while Itapirense’s sequence is LLWLW, including more wins but also more recent losses. The goal outlook supports a moderate chance of an open game. Over 2.5 goals is projected at 56.2%, and both teams to score is 56.6%, which aligns with both sides conceding relatively regularly and having no clean sheets recorded. Given the home win probability of 55.7% and the draw still at 23.5%, the home win call is reasonable but not definitive, matching the medium risk level.