Minsk II vs Ostrovets FC

Minsk II have a slightly stronger overall profile at home than Ostrovets have away, with Minsk II’s record reading 8W 1D 9L versus Ostrovets’ 3W 9D 6L. Minsk II also have more recent momentum, showing LWWWW in their latest run, while Ostrovets’ form is DDLLW, which looks more mixed. In goal terms, Minsk II have scored 24 and conceded 34 across 18 matches, while Ostrovets have scored 21 and conceded 26. Minsk II’s lower clean-sheet count (3) compared with Ostrovets (4) suggests Ostrovets can be harder to break down, but Minsk II’s recent scoring form supports the idea that the home side can still edge the match. The probabilities lean toward a home result but not overwhelmingly, with home win at 48.1% versus draw at 25.1% and away win at 26.8%. There is also a moderate tilt toward goals, with over 2.5 goals at 54.3% and both teams to score at 57.7%, which fits a scenario where Minsk II may win while Ostrovets still contribute offensively. Overall, the home win call looks reasonable given Minsk II’s recent form and home advantage, but the medium risk remains because Ostrovets’ away record and clean sheets indicate they can avoid a heavy defeat.